This may be old news, but there's a containment area just up the road in New Rochelle. The National Guard are deployed to help with logistics, including food distribution and cleaning. Travel is still relatively unrestricted, and most businesses are still open. In that way, it seems similar to Italy's lockdown. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/10/nyregion/coronavirus-new-rochelle-containment-area.html

For a detailed analysis of the danger posed by Covid-19, I found this article helpful: https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca It's relatively long, but worth taking the time to read in my opinion. The phrasing is intentionally a bit alarmist, but the analysis is quite good in my opinion. Here's a quick summary from the article: "When you’re done reading the article, this is what you’ll take away: The coronavirus is coming to you. It’s coming at an exponential speed: gradually, and then suddenly. It’s a matter of days. Maybe a week or two. When it does, your healthcare system will be overwhelmed. Your fellow citizens will be treated in the hallways. Exhausted healthcare workers will break down. Some will die. They will have to decide which patient gets the oxygen and which one dies. The only way to prevent this is social distancing today. Not tomorrow. Today. That means keeping as many people home as possible, starting now."

Finally, if anyone here prefers podcasts, Marc Lipsitch has a great short interview (25 min) on the "Deep Background with Noah Feldman" podcast. Dr. Lipsitch is the head of Harvard's epidemiology lab, and is the originator of the "40-70% of the adult population will likely get coronavirus" statistic.

-- JakeGlendenning - 12 Mar 2020