Law in Contemporary Society

A Speculative Inquest

-- By JuliaS - 09 Feb 2008

Introduction

What are prediction markets?

How do they work?

What are they used for?

What is information aggregation?

Prediction Markets and Judicial Decisions

Markets for Criminal Trials

Speculating about Guilt

Speculating about Verdicts

Speculating about Speculating

Markets for Supreme Court Cases

"Matters of Law"

Law by Consensus

Markets as Judges/Juries

Prediction Markets for World Events

Incentives for Sharing Information

Information as a Commodity

Hedging Uncertainty

Market Manipulating

Self-fulfilling Prediction Markets

Crazy Science Fiction-y Implications

Perception/Reality

Futarchy and Anarcho-Capitalism

Causal Determinism

Muss es sein?

Predicting/Controlling the Future

Sources

Wolfers Paper: http://www.nber.org/papers/w10504 Times Article: http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1118373-1,00.html Hanson Theory: http://hanson.gmu.edu/futarchy.html


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r3 - 11 Feb 2008 - 00:42:43 - JuliaS
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